Alaska Department of Health & Social Services Weekly Case Update
April 18-24, 2021

Decreasing

Statewide transmission
Rt 0.98

HIGH

Statewide alert status
21.8

Adequate

Hospital capacity

Moderate

Test positivity
2.79%

49.2%
Alaskan 16 years and older vaccinated

Red- quickly increasing, Rt>1.2

Orange- increasing, Rt 1-1.2

Yellow-decreasing, Rt<1

Red- 14-day average case rate per 100,000 people >10

Orange- 5-10

Yellow- <5

Red- <3 weeks until beyond capacity

Orange- 3-6 weeks

Yellow- >6 weeks

Red->5%

Orange- 2-5%

Yellow- <2%

At least one shot Estimated AK population 16 and older of 569,699 from census.gov (American Community Survey 2019)

Brief Status Report

  • The statewide transmission rate and daily case rates decreased slightly from last week. Case rates more than doubled in Fairbanks but decreased in Anchorage, Matanuska-Susitna, and Juneau regions. 
  • Alaska is currently the twelfth most vaccinated state per capita for adults 18+. 49% of the State/IHS vaccine allocation so far has been administered.

Case Trends and Predictions

  • 1,090 cases were reported in Alaskans last week. This was a 3.5% decrease from the week before. Case rates more than doubled in Fairbanks but decreased in Anchorage, the Matanuska-Susitna region, Juneau, the Northern Southeast, and Southwest regions.
  • Case rates increased in the Interior region, Northwest, Southern Southeast, and YK Delta regions compared with last week.
  • The estimated statewide daily growth rate as of April 25, 2021 is -0.42% and new cases are expected to halve every 164.2 days based on current modeling.

Regional Case Trends

Behavioral Health Region

Case rates Mar 14– Mar 20

Case rates Mar 21– Mar 27

Case rates Mar 28– Apr 3

Case rates Apr 4– Apr 10

Case rates Apr 11– Apr 17

Case rates Apr 18– Apr 24

Anchorage Municipality

16.6

22.0

25.7

22.8

21.0

17.2

Fairbanks North Star Borough

11.7

13.7

16.2

17.0

18.3

37.1

Interior Region except Fairbanks

47.1

40.9

30.0

16.6

17.1

20.7

Juneau City and Borough

4.3

3.8

5.4

8.1

9.4

7.4

Kenai Peninsula Borough

6.2

6.7

11.8

15.5

20.1

19.3

Matanuska-Susitna Region

36.7

40.9

49.2

46.9

48.2

40.6

Northern Southeast Region

6.0

6.3

7.4

8.1

11.6

9.5

Northwest Region

5.3

4.5

3.2

3.7

4.5

7.4

Southern Southeast Region

4.0

4.7

5.4

6.1

5.8

11.9

Southwest Region

5.3

5.6

5.1

10.1

9.3

5.1

Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta Region

34.1

26.4

25.9

20.1

11.6

12.4

Statewide

17.3

20.1

23.5

22.3

22.0

21.8

Vaccines Status Update


Reported vaccinations as of April 25, 2021.

 

     

    New Cases, Hospitalizations, and Deaths

    • During the week of April 18 through April 24, 2021, 1,090 cases were reported in Alaskans last week. This is a 3.5% decrease compared to the week prior for a total of 64,703
    • Cumulative hospitalizations increased to 1,463 with 10 reported as occurring this week. Hospitalization reports often lag and only 1,426 hospitalizations were reported at this time last week, so there are 37 hospitalizations newly reported this week including ones that began during previous weeks.
    • 12 deaths were reported this week (341 total), though all of these deaths occurred prior to April 24. It is common to take more than a week for a death to be reported, and deaths that occurred during Apr 18-24 may be reported in the future after death certificates are reviewed.
    • 28 new nonresident cases were identified this week for a total of 2,723 cases.

    Variant Tracking

    Variants of Concern

    Cases Identified

    Change from last week

    First Identified in Alaska

    B.1.1.7

    20

    +5

    20 December 2020

    P.1

    8

    +2

    8 February 2021

    B.1.351

    1

    0

    20 March 2021

    B.1.427

    1

    0

    30 March 2021

    B.1.429

    83

    +9

    24 December 2020

    Health Care Capacity

    • On April 25, 37 Alaskans with confirmed COVID-19 were hospitalized and 5 were reported to require a mechanical ventilator.

    Total Confirmed COVID-19 Beds Occupied

    Cases by Week Reported and Age Group

    Cases by Week Reported and Race

    Cases by Week Reported and Region

    Regional Vaccine Trends

    Borough/Census Area

    Vaccination Rate for Ages 16+
    April 25

    1+ Dose

    Fully Vaccinated

    Aleutians East Borough

    56.7%

    34%

    Aleutians West Census Area

    53.1%

    30.7%

    Anchorage Municipality

    52.8%

    45.3%

    Bethel Census Area

    68.7%

    60.1%

    Bristol Bay plus Lake and Peninsula

    63.7%

    51.8%

    Chugach-Copper River Census Area

    49.6%

    44.5%

    Denali Borough

    53.0%

    48.0%

    Dillingham Census Area

    50.1%

    41.3%

    Fairbanks North Star Borough

    40.1%

    33.9%

    Haines Borough

    66.3%

    62.0%

    Juneau City and Borough

    69.4%

    58.3%

    Kenai Peninsula Borough

    41.4%

    36.9%

    Ketchikan Gateway Borough

    55.5%

    48.4%

    Kodiak Island Borough

    59.8%

    52.7%

    Kusilvak Census Area

    69.4%

    56.7%

    Matanuska-Susitna Borough

    33.6%

    28.8%

    Nome Census Area

    72.1%

    69.3%

    North Slope Borough

    34.2%

    31.0%

    Northwest Arctic Borough

    55.7%

    50.5%

    Petersburg Borough

    72.9%

    68.4%

    Prince of Wales-Hyder Census Area

    46.3%

    41.6%

    Sitka City and Borough

    69.0%

    63.1%

    Skagway Municipality

    78.2%

    74.2%

    Southeast Fairbanks Census Area

    28.4%

    23.9%

    Wrangell City and Borough

    56.6%

    52.2%

    Yakutat plus Hoonah-Angoon

    71.2%

    64.5%

    Yukon-Koyukuk Census Area

    69.6%

    62.6%

    Statewide

    49.2%

    42.4%

    • To schedule your vaccine appointment visit covidvax.alaska.gov or call 907-646-3322. The call line is staffed Monday-Friday from 9AM-6:30PM and 9AM-4:30PM on weekends. The call line can also be used to answer general questions about vaccine safety and to request appointments to receive a specific type of vaccine. Alaskans receiving health services through a Tribal Health Organization or the Department of Defense should contact those organizations directly to determine their eligibility.

    Additional informational resources: